Polly has come out with her forecast for the American mid-term elections (House only, not doing Senate). She has the Democrats winning a 13-seat majority. Stay tuned for weekly updates – we are still 3 weeks away so anything could change! We have the Democrats at 224 seats and the Republicans at 211, with a range of +- 7 seats @ 85% C.I.. Polly says the 10 most hotly contested seats are the following:
As we know, forecasts get more accurate the closer we get to election day. Check back and expect frequent updates as the election approaches.